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SUMMARY
This report provides an overview of the market for U.S. developers and
suppliers of value-added telecommunications services to Bulgaria's business,
government and individual users. It describes the value-added telecommunications
currently available in Bulgaria and the technologies currently in the
market.
Demand for value-added telecommunications services will be strong in
the following best-prospect subsectors: broadband-based cable services,
mobile telephony value-added services, and Internet-based services.
Strong growth is expected in Voice Over Internet Protocol (VoIP), virtual
private networks, video-conferencing services, pre-paid calling and
pre-paid Internet cards, conference calls, IP based data and fax transmission,
unified messaging and short message services. U.S. companies as world
technology leaders in value-added telecommunications services have an
excellent export potential in Bulgaria, where U.S. products and services
have an outstanding reputation and are known for their cutting edge
technology and reasonable pricing.
Bulgaria's telecommunications services market was $480 million in 2000,
which is expected to grow 10 percent in 2001 and with 15 percent in
the next couple of years. The state Bulgarian Telecommunications Company
(BTC) which has a monopoly on voice telephony, has a 93 percent share
of the telephone services market. MobilTel (Israel), Bulgaria's first
GSM mobile services provider, and Mobikom (Bulgaria's sole NTM mobile
services provider) (joint venture between Cable & Wireless (U.K.)
and BTC) together have a market share of 7 percent. Bulgaria has a small
but promising value-added telecommunications services market of $23
million which is expected to grow in 2001 by 15 percent to reach $26.7
million in 2001, with growth of an additional 15 percent in 2002 and
20 percent in 2003 also forecast.
At present, Bulgarian companies, primarily BTC, MobilTel and Mobikom
and ISPs, have a 70 percent market share of the provision of value-added
services. However, BTC is far behind in the provision of high-quality
services. U.S. companies have only a 9 percent market share, while third
country companies have a 21 percent market share. The U.S. and third-country
market shares are expected to increase substantially after the end of
2002, when the liberalization of the Bulgarian telecommunications market
will occur with the end of the monopoly of BTC over fixed voice services.
Value-added service providers include Sector Communications Bulgaria
(value-added telecommunications services to hotels, video-conferenced
based job fairs), Nexcom Ltd. (VoIP) and Cable Bulgaria (cable TV operator).
The only third country value-added service provider is Global One (France),
The main reason for the small number of telecommunications companies
operating on the market is the monopoly of BTC on voice transmission,
and the strong influence which BTC has had on the development of the
telecommunication market and the development of the telecommunications
infrastructure.
With the development and especially the digitalization of the telecommunications
network, the expansion of value-added telecommunication services will
become possible. Licensing of three mobile operators (two using GSM
and one using the NMT standard) has already significantly contributed
to the development of the telecommunications services market.
Three factors will spur the development of value-added services in Bulgaria.
These are the licensing of a second GSM operator, COSMO Bulgaria Mobile
(CBM) (owned by the Greek OTE) in January 2001, the development of cable
TV operators and ISPs -- which are expected to start providing telecommunication
services -- and the future privatization of BTC.
The Bulgarian mobile telecommunications market will increasingly be
characterized by intense competition while prices go down. In such a
market, telecommunications carriers will depend on the quality of and
variety of the value-added telecommunications services they offer. Important
for the success in providing of value-added telecommunication services
on the Bulgarian market is, therefore, as in other sectors, the combination
of good price, quality of service and aggressive promotion.
A. MARKET HIGHLIGHTS AND BEST PROSPECTS
Market Profile
Telecommunications Market Overview
Bulgaria had a telecommunications services market of $480 million in
2000 which is expected to grow 10 percent in 2001 and by 15 percent
in the following two years. The state-owned Bulgarian Telecommunications
Company (BTC), which has a monopoly on voice telephony, has a 93 percent
share of the telephone services market. Several factors will contribute
to the expected market growth. First, the number of Internet users is
expected to substantially increase, creating great additional demand
for high quality telephone service. Second, mobile phone use is increasing
substantially and will increase even more when the second GSM operator
COSMO Bulgaria Mobile (CBM) (owned by the Greek OTE) starts operating
later in 2001. Third, significant growth of digital service as a share
of market continues. Fourth, the deregulation of the telecommunications
market at the end of 2002 will open the market for competition, when
telecommunications operators are expected to start competing with BTC.
And fifth is the expected increase of services provided by cable TV
operators and ISPs, some of which in addition to data transmission after
the termination of BTC monopoly are expected to start voice transmission
services.
MobilTel (GSM mobile operator) and Mobikom (NMT mobile operator) together
had about 770,000 subscribers at the end of 2000. By the end of 2001
the GSM operator MobilTel expects to have about 1.3 million subscribers.
Mobikom expects to increase its subscribers by only 5-10 percent as
the NMT technology is generally viewed as old and the variety of services
that can be offered is limited, although Mobikom covers 95 percent of
Bulgaria's population and offers good service.
There was an average 15 percent increase of the total sales of value-added
telecommunications services from $20.3 million (1999) to $23 million
(2000). Another 15 percent increase is expected in 2001 to a projected
$26.4 million. An average 20 percent increase of the total sales for
the years 2002 and 2003 is expected mainly due to the increase of sales
of foreign owned companies, mainly the mobile telecommunications operators,
cable TV operators and foreign owned ISPs. The projected increase may
even be higher if BTC is sold to a foreign operator and starts offering
a variety of value-added services. The value-added services market growth
will be affected by several factors. First is the substantial increase
of the number of mobile and fixed-line subscribers. Second is the increased
variety of value-added services offered by carriers. Third is the increased
quality of the basic telephone services and network digitalization.
And fourth is the increasing purchasing ability of the population, which
will allow more people to become not only basic subscribers but also
to use many of the value-added services.
A greater part of the increase in the sales of foreign-owned companies
will come through sales by the new second GSM operator. There was a
25 percent increase of the sales by foreign-owned companies in 2000
over 1999, an increase from $4.8 million to $6 million, with another
25 percent expected increase in 2001, a projected increase from $6 million
to $7.7 million.
The average increase of 10 percent in the sales of locally owned companies
in 2000 and 2001, from $15.5 million in 1999 to $17 million in 2000
and $18.7 million in 2001 is expected to decrease to 5 percent in the
following two years due to the fact that none of these companies is
offering a great variety of value-added services and it is unlikely
that will start offering such services or attract many new customers
for the services currently offered.
U.S. companies increased sales by 81 percent in 2000 compared to 1999,
from $1.1 million to $2.0 million, with an expected increase in 2001
of about 30 percent, thus reaching $2.7 million. The sales by U.S. companies
are expected to increase by another 20 percent in the following two
years, especially in 2003 after deregulation of the telecommunications
market, in line with the strong competitiveness of U.S. companies and
the overall expected growth of the market.
Telecommunications Infrastructure
Bulgaria has the highest penetration of telephone service in Eastern
Europe, with 39.43 telephones per 100 persons. Bulgaria's fixed telecommunications
network is owned by BTC, which is owned by the Ministry of Transport
and Communications. Over 95 percent of Bulgaria's telephone subscribers
can make automatic domestic long-distance calls. As of January 1, 2000
BTC had a total of 3,254,742 telephone subscriber lines -- 2,394,118
residential subscriber lines and 860,624 business subscriber lines.
Eighty five percent of residential subscribers are using analog lines;
70% of business subscribers use analog lines while only 30% of the business
subscribers have digital subscriber lines. Central Sofia, the location
of most U.S. firms, already has largely moved to seven-digit digitally-switched
lines offering direct-dial access to the United States. In 1999 140,000
new subscriber lines were installed throughout the country. The BTC
network is directly connected to over 45 telecommunications operators
in other countries. Connectivity is by digital transmission systems
operating mainly on optical cables. For distant connections such as
the United States, Canada, Japan, China, connectivity is via international
satellite systems.
BTC, as the main telecommunications operator in the country, has the
obligation to provide universal telecommunications service of a specified
quality level which is available to all users regardless of their geographic
location and which is provided at affordable prices. Universal service
in Bulgaria is defined as ordinary telephone service and free use of
national emergency services.
Extremely important for the development of telecommunications services
and value-added services in particular is the digitalization of the
telecommunications network. BTC's main objective for telecommunications
network development is its technological upgrades through new digital
switching and transmission infrastructure. BTC's middle-term priorities
for the period until 2002 in the area of the telecommunications network
technological modernization include building up the digital switch network;
continuation of the digitalization; speeding up of the implementation
of modern telecommunications and information services including ISDN;
and accelerated extension of the subscriber access network including
broadband. The implementation of these priorities is expected to significantly
increase BTC competitiveness before the end of the BTC monopoly and
liberalization of the telecommunications market on January 1, 2003.
Bulgaria has no 3G network, also known as Universal Mobile Telecommunications
System (UMTS). It is expected that the first 3G license will be granted
by 2004. UMTS will allow the broadband, packet-based transmission of
text, digitized voice, video and multimedia at rates higher than 2 Mbps
The increased bandwidth of UMTS will offer customers new services like
video-conferencing delivered over advanced mobile devices.
Almost 93 percent of the population uses the fixed telephone network,
while only 7 percent use mobile phones. The average duration of a telephone
conversation using mobile phones is 2 minutes and using the fixed network
4 minutes. But market share and call length of the mobile market are
expected to increase. Bulgarian users like mobile phones for the following
reasons:
- Good
coverage
- Better
telephone connection
- Good
quality services for the price
- Modern
technology These preferences over BTC indicate that Bulgaria offers
excellent opportunity for mobile services development.
After
the liberalization of the voice transmission in 2003 more foreign telecommunications
companies are expected to come to the market, develop the telecommunications
infrastructure and diversify the market of value-added services. Further
development of the telecommunications network, ISPs and cable TV operators
will introduce further possibilities for provision of new services.
Government Telecommunications Policy
Bulgaria's telecommunications sector policy for the short term (through
the end of BTC's monopoly at the end of 2002) and medium term (from
2003) emphasizes the importance of telecommunications for the economy
of the country and development of conditions for a competitive market,
following the principles and policies of the European Union. The main
objectives of the policy are:
- development
and adoption of regulatory laws, regulations, rules and procedures,
conforming to new market and technological conditions and harmonized
with European Union legislation;
- liberalization
of the telecommunications market by elimination of the monopoly of
BTC in providing telecommunications services; and
- provision
of equal terms for all parties in the telecommunications services
market and establishment of structures and rules of conduct ensuring
fair competition.
To achieve these objectives, the policy seeks to implement:
- fast
development, modernization and upgrading of the existing telecommunication
infrastructure;
- improvement
of the quality of telecommunications services;
- transformation
of Bulgaria into a center for international telecommunications traffic;
- increased
foreign investment;
- introduction
of new up-to-date telecommunications services; and
- development
of Bulgaria as an information society with high usage of multimedia
services for exchange of data, text, voice and images.
Internet Services
The market for Internet services is estimated to be $50 million with
about 170 Internet Service Providers (ISPs) operating on the market
and expected annual growth of about 50 percent. Despite the relatively
large number of ISPs there are 13 ISPs that dominate the market as "wholesalers."
As many ISPs have rather low capitalization, a consolidation of the
Bulgarian ISP market can be expected in the near future, which will
decrease the number of ISPs but will lead to substantial increase of
the quality and range of services provided.
Bulgaria has approximately 330,000 Internet users (4% of the population).
By 2004 this number is expected to increase to 700,000, 9% of the population.
Due to the rather low average monthly income of under $150 per person,
the Bulgarian Internet services market is mainly price driven. The biggest
share of Internet users, 34%, is concentrated in Sofia, 64% in other
towns and only 2% in the villages. Seventy three percent of the users
are under age 30, 18% are between 31 and 50, and only 9% are older than
50. Only 24 of the leading 100 companies have websites, and there are
only about 3,000 corporate sites. Twenty-nine percent of users access
the Internet from their offices, 24% from Internet clubs which are very
popular in Bulgaria, and only 19% from home. 1.5. Cable TV Operators
Bulgaria has a cable TV market with about 700 cable operators operating
all over the country. There are about 800,000 cable TV subscribers,
which represents roughly 10% of the population of Bulgaria. The cable
TV market is dominated by 5 leading companies, which have the biggest
number of subscribers. For example, one of the leading operators, Evrotur
SAT, has 60,000 subscribers and the second biggest, Centrum Group, has
28,000 subscribers. The Bulgarian cable TV market is poorly developed
and needs a lot more in infrastructure development before it becomes
comparable with western standards. Most value-added services that are
based on cable TV such as video on demand and cable Internet are known
on the market but are relatively expensive and end-users cannot afford
them yet. That is why at present cable operators are not viewed as major
competitors to ISPs. In order to work more effectively and be able to
invest in infrastructure development and equipment, the 700 cable TV
operators in Bulgaria have to start a process of concentration and merger
of capital. Industry experts predict that some of the biggest TV names
like Time Warner, United Pan European Communication and TCI are expected
to come on the Bulgarian market in the near future through acquisition
of existing cable TV operators.
The biggest cable TV operator in Bulgaria is Cable Bulgaria, which at
present has over 120,000 subscribers. Cable operators such as Cable
Bulgaria are expected to become major competitors to BTC after 2002.
Broadband and WAP
Services based on broadband and WAP are not yet provided in Bulgaria.
Although broadband is not offered, cable TV operators using fiber optic
cables are expected to start providing broadband based service in the
near future. Video-conferencing services which are based on ISDN lines
and require additional video-conferencing equipment and are usually
provided by high-tech companies or telecommunications operators in addition
to their basic activities. However, only video-conferencing between
two points is available in Bulgaria. Multiple conferencing with more
than two participants at more than two points is not available in Bulgaria.
Services like billing services, on-line directories and business directories
are available in Bulgaria and are provided mainly by the ISPs, as legal
and accounting databases are found to be extremely popular and useful.
ISDN
In 1999 BTC started to market ISDN (Integrated Services Digital Network).
The new technology integrated all types of telecommunications services
(voice, fax, data exchange and video images) and provides the users
with high-speed and reliable connections, variety of services and possible
application. BTC offers two types of subscriber access to the ISDN network:
- Basic
rate - BRA ISDN (2B+D)
- Primary
rate - PRA ISDN (30B+D)
So far, BTC has sold 1,146 BRA ISDN subscriber lines and 140 PRA ISDN
subscriber lines out of the 7,041 BRA ISDN and 254 PRA ISDN installed
capacity.
Value-Added Services
The term "value-added telecommunications services" is generally defined
as services offered by telecommunications operators in addition to their
basic services. The additional services enable operators to charge additional
prices, meet increasing clients' demands and attract new customers. Telecommunications
operators offer Internet-related services for data, call-waiting, call-forwarding,
call barring, voice mail, caller ID, short message service (SMS), unified
messaging, conference calls, information numbers, pre-paid calling, pre-paid
Internet cards and virtual private networking. However, WAP service, Internet
call centers, interactive video, video-on-demand, VoIP (for regulatory
reasons) are not yet provided on the Bulgarian market.
Future expansion of value-added services will depend on the penetration
of telephone and cable network and quality of telephone connectivity.
The rule is that is larger cities, which have higher telephone penetration
and better quality of telephone connectivity, the usage of telecommunications
services is higher.
Value Added-Services Provided by BTC
BTC offers very few value-added services over its fixed telephone network.
- Call
Holding
- Call
Forwarding
- Call
Barring--incoming and outgoing
- CLIP
(caller ID)
- Detailed
billing
- Conference
calling
BTC currently has no plans to expand these services prior to its privatization
or the end of its monopoly at the end of 2002. These services are not
well advertised and ordinary customers do not know how to use them. 1.8.2.
Value-Added Services Provided by Mobile Operators
Value-Added Services by GSM Operators
Bulgarian GSM service has been operated by MobilTel Ltd., a private company,
incorporated in 1994 for the purpose of establishing and building a GSM
digital cellular mobile communication network on the territory of Bulgaria.
Ninety five percent of MobilTel were owned by Eastern Market Telecom,
a company registered in Switzerland. In early December, 2000 the shares
of MobilTel were sold to an Israeli investor group led by the Israeli
businessmen Lev Leviev (50%) and Eliezer Fishman (22.5%) and newspaper/media
firm Yediot Ahronoth (22.5%).
At the end of 2000 MobilTel had 570,000 subscribers. The company expects
to have 1.3 million subscribers by the end of 2001. The company covers
76 percent of the territory of the country and 89 percent of the population
of Bulgaria. At the end of July 2000, MobilTel had signed contracts for
international roaming with 215 GSM operators from 90 countries.
MobilTel Ltd. offers the following value added telecommunications services:
- Call
Forwarding. Call forwarding allows subscribers to forward a call from
a mobile phone to another mobile or fixed telephone. Four types of
forwarding are offered: forward all calls, forward if line is busy,
forward when no answer, and forward the call if the subscriber is
out of service.
- Call
Barring. Call barring allows subscribers to bar incoming and/or outgoing
calls. The following options are available: outgoing calls -- bar
all outgoing calls/international calls; incoming calls -- bar all
incoming calls/roaming calls.
- Conference
Calling. Five people can participate in a conference call. The initiator
of the call has to be a subscriber of MobilTel, while conference calls
participants may be subscribers of Mobikom as well.
- Calling
Line Identification Presentation (CLIP). Called Caller ID in the United
States, the calling number is displayed on the phone. However, if
the call is from an analog phone the calling number does not appear.
- Calling
Line Identification Restriction (CLIR). As with Caller ID Barring
in the United States, this service enables the calling party to prevent
their number from appearing on the called party's display.
- Call
Waiting. This service allows subscribers to be informed of a new incoming
call while having a conversation. The call may be answered, rejected
or ignored.
- Call
Holding. The service allows subscribers to keep an active conversation
on hold, while taking or making another call.
- Data
Transmission. The service allows transfer of data GSM-GSM, GSM-stationary
telephone, and stationary telephone-GSM through using the GSM network.
Transmission speeds are 300, 1200, 2400, 4800 and 9600 bps. Some new
telephone handsets produced by Nokia and Samsung allow transfer speed
of 14,400 bps. In order to use this service, a SIM card has to be
activated. With exception of some Nokia 9000 and Nokia 9110 models,
all GSM telephones must have a connection to a PC, laptop or a palmtop
through an infra-red port, cable connected to the communications port
of a computer or through a cable and PCMCA card.
- Internet
access. Every GSM subscriber can have access to the Internet through
a mobile phone. The service provides Internet access without the necessity
of a subscription or password by merely dialing the special GSM telephone
number.
- Fax
transmission. The GSM subscriber must have activated a fax number.
In order to transmit or receive faxes, the GSM telephone must be connected
to a computer through a cable or infra-red port. In order to receive
a fax, the subscriber must connect the telephone to a computer and
start their fax software. A special attachment is necessary to connect
to a standard fax machine.
- Short
Message Service (SMS). The service allows transfer of short messages
with a length of up to 160 symbols. The transmission of long messages
requires specific software for the GSMs of both the sender and the
receiver.
- SMS
to e-mail. This service allows sending of e-mails from a GSM. Subscribers
who want to use this service have to specifically request the activation
of this service and pay additionally for it.
- E-mail
to SMS. The service allows receiving of e-mail on the GSM. In order
to send e-mail messages to a GSM, the client may use common e-mail
software such as Outlook Express, Netscape Messenger, Pegasus Mail,
or Eudora. The service may be activated free of charge through the
web-site of the company: http://www.mtel.net/. Sending
of an e-mail to an SMS is free of charge.
- Web
to SMS. The service allows message transfer to an SMS through the
web page of MobilTel http://www.mtel.net/. The services
is free of charge.
- GSM
Voice Mail. A "GSM Voice Mail" ensures that all calls which are not
received/accepted by the receiver to be forwarded to a voice mail
service. The voice mail service automatically informs the subscriber
for any messages when the phone is accessible in the network. The
subscriber may dial his voice mail number and read the message. This
is an extra-cost service that must be activated.
- SMS
received mail. Every time the phone is switched on or the phone accesses
the GSM network, the "GSM Voice Mail" will inform the subscriber via
a short message (SMS) as to the existence of unread messages.
- Global
Positioning System (GPS). This service by GPS Bulgaria Ltd., a separate
affiliate of MobilTel Ltd. allows locating of moveable targets, navigation,
control and monitoring of personal property, medical assistance or
assistance on the road. The company also allows subscribers to monitor
the location of goods transiting Bulgaria, movements of vehicles transporting
money or other valuable property; to control and manage vessel movements
and cargo shipments; to enhance security of vehicles; and to help
drivers find route and map directions.
- M-Tel
Info. By dialing one number, subscribers have access to a variety
of information such as foreign exchange rates, schedules of air flights,
buses and trains, cinema and theater programs and sports programs.
Partners of MobilTel in providing of this service include Lufthansa,
IBM, Sofia Airport and DHL. A variation of this service is to request
specific information through SMS by sending a product information
code, with the response by SMS.
Value-Added
Services Provided by the NMT Operator
The Radio Telecommunications Company (RTC Mobikom) is the Bulgarian NMT
(analog) mobile operator. The company was founded in 1992 as a joint venture
between Cable & Wireless (49%), the Bulgarian Telecommunications Company
(39%) and the Bulgarian company Radio Electronic Systems (12%). Mobikom
uses an analog system, using the NMT 450 standard. The service was launched
in 1993 and at the end of 2000 had over 180,000 subscribers. The network
covers 95 percent of Bulgaria's population, all major cities, highways
and resorts. Mobikom has roaming agreements with cellular operators in
Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Norway, Poland, Romania, Russia and
Sweden.
Mobikom Ltd. offers the following value-added telecommunications services:
- Three-party
Conference Calling
- Call
forwarding
- Call
Restrictions
- Call
Waiting
- E-mail.
E-mail is "accepted" by calling 048-1638. The call goes through an
operator to whom the customer dictates the address and contents of
the e-mail.
- MoViTel.
(Mobile Virtual Phone). This is a new service provided by Mobikom
Ltd. aimed at users that need a 24-hour connection but have no mobile
phone or pager. Every subscriber to the service gets a personal mobile
number 048238 xxxx, which can be called to leave the subscriber a
message. The messages can be retrieved by the subscriber at any time
by calling the same number.
- Information
Services. By dialing three-digit numbers, Mobikom subscribers have
access to the following value-added services: weather forecasts, financial
information, sports information, real estate information, and business
and legal consultations.
Toll Free
and Special Rate Numbers
Bulgaria has no toll-free calling in operation, either inward or outward.
As competition in the services and retail segment increases, there will
be need for toll free numbers.
Data and Voice Transmission Over IP (VoIP)
As voice transmission is a monopoly of BTC until the end of 2002, Internet
Protocol (IP) can be used by telecommunications operators for voice transmission
under the Telecommunications Act as long as their voice quality is at
a lower level than voice quality which BTC provides. Global One, for example,
uses IP for data transmission and is ready to start voice transmission
once the monopoly expires. Nexcom is an example of a U.S. company with
operations in Bulgaria which is providing voice transmission using IP
technology and plans to increase and broaden its operations once the monopoly
expires. Voice Over IP (VoIP) is generally accepted as a low cost alternative
to long distance calls but it may not generate large demand because of
the quality difference between VoIP and the fixed-line network.
Prepaid Calling Cards and Prepaid Internet Cards
Mobikom offers prepaid telephone cards for public phones. Global One and
MCI Worldcom are the only foreign companies that offer prepaid calling
cards, while Global One is the only foreign company that offers prepaid
Internet cards in Bulgaria. Prepaid Internet cards are actively advertised
and offered by most of the leading ISPs, and this service is gaining popularity
steadily. Global One is also offering post-paid calling cards and calling
cards billed to credit cards. These are not popular because credit cards
are not widely used in Bulgaria.
Video-Conferencing
The Bulgarian market for video-conferencing is small but will grow as
technology presents major cost savings for companies. Video-conferencing
is typically done based on ISDN connections over the public switched telephone
network and more and more companies are expected to implement it for corporate
events and training sessions.
Virtual Private Networks (VPN)
VPN is a lower-cost alternative to private corporate networks or leased
lines, allowing businesses to connect offices in remote locations using
public telecommunications infrastructure and maintaining privacy. VPN
is offered in Bulgaria by GOCIS, a joint venture between Global One and
BTC.
|
Statistical Data
USDm
|
1999
|
2000
|
2001
|
Forecast
Growth
Rate
2002-2004
|
|
Sales by Foreign Owned Companies |
4.8
|
6
|
7.7
|
15%
|
|
Sales by Locally Owned Companies |
15.5
|
17
|
18.7
|
5%
|
|
Foreign Sales by Local Companies |
0
|
0
|
0
|
0%
|
|
Total Sales |
20.3
|
23
|
26.4
|
20%
|
|
Sales by U.S. Companies |
1.1
|
2.0
|
2.7
|
20%
|
Note:
The above statistics are unofficial estimates based on industry sources.
Receptivity of U.S. products and services: the Bulgarian market is generally
very receptive to U.S. products and services as U.S. firms have an excellent
reputation of providing modern, innovative and cutting edge technology
solutions with reasonable pricing.
3. Best sales prospects
The following are the best sales prospect value-added services:
1. Broadband-based Cable Services
The enormous technical opportunities provided by broadband will enable
operators to increase not only the data transmission speed but also
to increase to number of provided services. The first providers of broadband-based
services will be cable TV operators. Besides cable TV programs, they
will be able to provide Internet data transmission, and after December
31, 2002 voice transmission as well. The big advantage of cable operators
is that the cable network they create now goes into individual homes
and they will be ready to start competing with BTC immediately after
the monopoly expires.
2. Mobile Telephony Value-added Services
With 7 percent of the population using mobile phones, Bulgaria lags
behind other Western European countries, where about 40 percent of the
population uses mobile phones. Bulgaria therefore has an enormous development
potential. The second GSM tender attracted the attention of 45 foreign
companies and the granting of the license will spur the development
of the mobile communications. The competition between the three mobile
operators will not only increase quality of services and lower prices
but will also stimulate the development and offering of a wider range
of value-added services.
3. Internet-based Services
IP-based services like data and fax transmission, VoIP and IP-based
video services including video-conferencing have an excellent development
potential for Bulgaria.
B. COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS
The combination of good price, quality of service and aggressive promotion
is vital to sales of value-added telecommunications services in Bulgaria.
One proven marketing strategy is to operate through a Bulgarian subsidiary
and employ local Bulgarian staff, which has knowledge and expertise
on the market and has good business contacts.
Successful market entrants are those that can offer innovative products
featuring high quality and reasonable pricing. New solutions in technologies
and services which will help Bulgaria join the e-world, offer great
potential.
1. Sales by Bulgarian Companies
The main companies on the Bulgarian telecommunications market are BTC,
Mobikom (49% of which is owned by Cable & Wireless) and GOCIS (owned
by BTC and Global One). They hold about 70% of the value-added telecommunications
services market, given the fact that BTC, which is the main player on
the market is a shareholder in all of them. The expected increase for
2001 is about 10% while in the next few years the increase may be lower,
due to the fact that more companies will operate on the market and BTC
will have increased competition both from the currently operating mobile
operators including the second GSM, as well as from some of the cable
TV operators which will get involved in telecommunications activity
as well. BTC will have to substantially increase the variety of services
it offers in order to keep the business community as a client, which
currently contributes to 80% of its profit.
The expected privatization of BTC will bring additional foreign companies
to the market and through increased investment, the company will be
able to offer new services to the market and attract new customers for
the value-added services. This will give BTC the opportunity to transform
itself from a telecommunications operator to a services oriented company.
2. Sales by Third-Country Companies
MobilTel, Mobikom (49% owned by Cable & Wireless) and Global One
are the foreign-owned companies that operate on the Bulgarian market.
Global One focuses on Internet services, data transmission services
and pre-paid calling for calls with more than 100 countries. The company
actively promotes its pre-paid Internet cards in competition with local
Bulgarian companies. Global One also offers IP based fax services and
after 2002 is ready to start offering VoIP.
Third-country companies hold about 21% of the market. In 2001 and especially
in 2002 their market share will increase substantially due to the start
of operation of the second GSM operator COSMO Bulgaria Mobile and after
the liberalization of the telecommunication services market in the beginning
of 2003.
3. Sales by U.S.-based Companies
At present the share of U.S. companies is about 9% of the market. Contribution
to the increase will have Cable Bulgaria when in 2003 it starts providing
value-added telecommunication services and services based on Internet
Protocol.
Sector Communications has been on the Bulgarian market since 1994 and
has invested approximately $5 million in telecommunications infrastructure
in Sofia and Plovdiv (the two main cities), which amount also included
the design and installation of 15 km of state-of-the-art fiber optics.
Sector Communications provides value-added telecommunications services
to some of the largest hotels in Sofia and Plovdiv and acts as a reseller
of BTC services. It has announced plans to expand services in the fields
of video-conferencing and video-conferencing job fairs in 2001.
Cable Bulgaria is another U.S. owned company that operates on the Bulgarian
market, although it has not started offering value-added telecommunications
services yet. Cable Bulgaria started operation in the beginning of 2000
by obtaining cable TV licenses and by purchasing three existing cable
operators, Union TV, Globo TV and Varna cable. The goal of the company
is to install fiber optic cable covering the whole country and provide
cable TV services like video on demand, digital TV, interactive TV,
along with Internet services and possibly provide voice telephony services
after the monopoly of BTC expires at the end of 2002. The company plans
to invest $40-50 million in upgrading the existing network and developing
infrastructure. Cable Bulgaria shareholders are primarily American and
Irish.
Nexcom has established its presence on the Bulgarian market in 1998
and so far has invested more than $1 million. The company intends to
continue its development on the market and start offering a variety
of value-added IP based services.
Picturetel provides video-conferencing services.
These companies have exploited niches in the permitted scope of services
allowed under the present scope of the BTC monopoly. With the end of
the monopoly, more U.S. companies can be expected to enter Bulgaria's
market.
C. END USER ANALYSIS
Value-added telecommunications services based on VPN, WAP, ISDN, broadband
and video-conferencing are of primary interest to companies, due to
their higher price, while other value-added mobile telephone services
and services based on IP technology are of interest to both private
individuals and companies.
The end-users of value-added telecommunications services in Bulgaria
can be divided into the following groups:
- the
commercial sector
- the
residential sector (private individuals)
- the
public sector (government)
The commercial
sector represents the biggest end-user group and accounts for 60% of
the consumption and revenues from value-added telecommunications services.
The second biggest group with 35% is the public sector, mainly represented
by the government and the third group with only 5% is represented by
the residential sector (private individuals).
As with most of the services sectors, spending on value-added services
is tightly connected to the increase of GDP of Bulgaria, increase of
companies' revenues and welfare of the population. With the increase
of foreign investment in Bulgaria and further stabilization of the economy
and financial sector, more and more of the end-users are expected to
increase their use of mobile phones, Internet based services and value-added
services in particular.
The factors that affect the end-users purchasing decision are availability
of service, price and quality of the value-added service. As the Bulgarian
market in general is very price sensitive, pricing of services should
be an important part of a company's business strategy.
The long-awaited privatization of BTC and end of the monopoly of BTC
on fixed-line telephony at the end of 2002 are expected to bring more
companies on the telecommunications services market and increase competition
both in terms of pricing, variety of new services and higher and better
quality. Despite the fact that the quality of the services currently
provided is at an excellent level, the fact that this is probably one
of the most dynamic sectors maintaining high level of quality of services
requires constant investment in technology, equipment and know-how.
D. MARKET ACCESS
1. Import Climate
There are no import licenses, investment restrictions or other barriers
to U.S. companies providing value-added telecommunications services
in Bulgaria. U.S. investors are protected by the U.S.-Bulgaria Bilateral
Investment Treaty.
2. Regulatory Framework
Bulgarian telecommunications activities are regulated by the Council
of Ministers, the Ministry of Transport and Communications (MTC) and
the State Telecommunications Commission (STC). The STC was established
in 1998 with the purpose of controlling and regulating the telecommunications
market is the country and it reports to the Council of Ministers. The
STC is also responsible for granting licenses to telecommunications
operators, cable TV operators, radio and TV broadcasting operators.
Consequently, providers of data services do not need licenses.
The Law on Telecommunications was passed by the Bulgarian Parliament
on July 28, 2000. The law creates the legal framework for carrying out
of telecommunications activities and services in Bulgaria and regulates
activities of telecommunications operators. The aim of the law is to
create ensure the satisfaction of the public demand for telecommunication
services. The law provides conditions for liberalization of telecommunications
activities and services, establishment of a free market and fair competition,
and fair and non-discriminatory treatment of operators. Public telecommunications
operators are obliged to provide customers, under conditions of equal
treatment, with access to public telecommunications networks and with
the opportunity to use telecommunications services under publicly announced
conditions.
The telecommunications law is in accordance with the E.U. legislation
and creates favorable ground for further development of the sector.
The full text of the law is available at the web-site of the STC: http://www.stc.bg/.
Telecommunications services providers and operators, including cable
TV operators but not ISPs -- must be licensed under the law by the State
Telecommunications Commission (STC). However, there are no provisions
in the Law requiring licenses for value-added service providers such
as ISPs or which have specifications or service standards governing
value-added services. Also no license is required to build, maintain
or operate a private telecommunications network for a company's own
use which has no access to the public telecommunications network.
Additional information on licensing of telecommunications service providers
may be obtained from STC:
Mr. Ivan Taushanov
Chairman
State Telecommunications Commission
6, Gurko Street
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-949-2335
Fax: 359-2-987-0695
3. Distribution/Business Practices
U.S. suppliers of value-added telecommunications services distribute
directly to local service providers, who provide the services to their
customers.
As cable TV operators and ISPs have built their own infrastructure,
have an established customer base and have development potential, they
may be considered good partners of US companies. After expiration of
the monopoly of BTC at the end of 2002, some of these companies may
be interested in expanding their operations and competing with the telecommunications
carriers. As Bulgaria has a population of only 8 million, only telecommunication
carriers which offer a variety of attractive value-added services have
a chance to obtain a considerable market share and be profitable.
Business practices in Bulgaria do not differ significantly from those
in the United States or the European Union. Unless a U.S. company chooses
to open its own office in Bulgaria, it should consider appointing a
local agent or distributor who is familiar with the marketing, distribution
and business practices in Bulgaria, key decision makers and business
customs. The local company should also be qualified to provide technical
assistance and local servicing of the products. There are many well-established
companies that can operate as service providers.
The distribution of value-added telecommunications services by service
providers is straightforward. By becoming a subscriber of any of the
telephone service providers, ISPs or cable TV operators, end-users have
in practice access to the value-added services that the respective provider
is offering. In some cases, as in distribution of pre-paid calling and
Internet cards, operators work through distributors or resellers. In
most cases the end-user personally must go to one of the trading offices
of the telecommunications company and requests that the service be activated,
which is rather inconvenient but with the spreading of e-business most
of these operations are expected to be done on-line.
4. Financing
Bank financing in Bulgaria is still difficult and expensive, especially
for small- and medium-size enterprises. Therefore U.S. providers of
value-added telecommunications services in Bulgaria should obtain their
own working capital and other financing necessary for investments in
Bulgaria.
Similarly, customers for value-added service technology in Bulgaria
-- BTC, the mobile services providers, cable operators, and ISPs --
can be expected to self-finance purchases of value-added services technology
and infrastructure. Therefore, their purchasing power depends on the
overall financial strength of the customer. Payment between telecommunications
service providers and their foreign business partners and technology
suppliers is usually done through bank transfers using letter of credit.
Bank transfer is also the most common payment method between Bulgarian
companies. Typical payment terms in Bulgaria between companies are payment
in full within 30 days of invoice for existing customers with good payment
histories and prepayment for new or unknown customers.
As Bulgaria is mainly a cash oriented economy with electronic payments
mainly through debit cards just starting, most of the payments between
end-users and service providers are made in cash on a monthly basis
or through the purchase of prepaid cards. However, cash payments are
inconvenient, since customers must go to the offices or business centers
of companies and wait in line and pay. As yet, only an insignificant
percentage of the population has debit card.
5. Key Contacts
Government organizations
Ministry of Transport and Communications
Mr. Grozdan Karadjov
Secretary General
9, Vassil Levski Street
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-949-2108
Fax: 359-2-949-0248
http://www.mtc.government.bg/bg/default.htm
State Telecommunications Commission
Mr. Ivan Taushanov
Chairman
6, Gurko Street
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-949-2335
Fax: 359-2-987-0695
http://www.stc.bg/
U.S. Telecommunications Companies
Sector Communications
Mr. Kalcho Kalchev
Managing Director
4, Shesti Septemvri Street
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-980-0802; 987-7122
Fax: 359-2-981-8165
E-mail: sectorbg@sectorcom.net
htpp://www.sectorcom.net
Nexcom Bulgaria
Mr. Atanas Sharkov
Manager
75, Krum Popov St.
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-963-4302
Fax: 359-2-963-4211
E-mail: asharkov@nexcom.bg
htpp://www.nexcom.bg
Cable Bulgaria
Ms. Denka Ivanova
General Manager
19, Tzar Boris III, 4th floor
1612 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-954-9249
Fax: 359-2-954-9834
E-mail: divanova@cablebulgaria.com
htpp://www.cablebulgaria.com
Bulgarian and Third-country Companies
Bulgarian Telecommunications Company
Mr. Ivan Spassov
Executive Director
8, Totelben Blvd.
1606 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-9494-438
Fax: 359-2-954-9780
http://www.btc.bg/
Global One
Mr. Yani Yanev
Managing Director
Interpred-World Trade Center
36, Dragan Tsankov Blvd.
1040 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-971-2575
Fax: 359-2-971-2182
http://www.globalone-bg.com/
MobilTel
Mr. Vladimir Grashnov
Executive Director
8, Balsha Street
1408 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-985-1331
Fax: 359-2-500-032
http://www.mobiltel.bg/
Mobikom
Mr. John Munnery
General Manager
Mladost 1
1, Eruslim Street
Phone: 359-2-974-3719
Fax: 359-2-974-3699
http://www.mobikom.bg/
ISPs
BGNet Ltd.
Mr. Stefan Vassilevski
Manager
POB 112, Sofia 1113
Phone: 359-2-705-187, 731-120
Fax: 359-2-700-203
E-mail: info@bgnet.bg
htpp://www.bgnet.bg
BOL BG
Mr. Veni Markovski
President
31, Tsar Ivan Shishman St., 3 floor
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-980-9666
Fax: 359-2-980-6431
E-mail: office@bol.bg
htpp://www.bol.bg
BiT Inc.
Ms. Anna Trandeva
CEO
NDK Admin. building, 10 floor
1463 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-954-9090
Fax: 359-2-954-9335
E-mail: info@bitex.com
htpp://www.bitex.com
Digital Systems Ltd.
4, Triaditsa St., 2 floor
Phone: 359-2-981-1301
Fax: 359-2-980-6889
E-mail: order@digsys.bg
htpp://www.digsys.bg
GOCIS Ltd.
Mr. Ivan Genov
General Manager
63, Shipchenski Prohod Blvd.
1574 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-971-3173
Fax: 359-2-738-214
E-mail: office@gocis.bg
htpp://www.gocis.bg
Inter- BG- Com Ltd.
Mr. Ivailo Kotlarov
Executive Director
45, Geo MIlev St.
1111 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-973-3110
Fax: 359-2-915-2270
E-mail: office@interbg.com
htpp://www.interbg.com
NET IS SAT Ltd.
Mr. Bozhidar Ignatov
Managing Director
18, Rozova Dolina St.
1421 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-963-3180
Fax: 359-2-962-5530
E-mail: contacts@netissat.bg
htpp://www.netissat.bg
Spectrum Net Ltd.
Mr. Teodor Zahov
President
1, Universiada Blvd.
1797 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-974-3238
Fax: 359-2-975-3026
E-mail: info@spnet.bg
htpp://www.spnet.bg
Orbitel Ltd.
Mr. Victor Francess
Executive Director
1, Macedonia Square, 18 floor
1040 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-980-9077
Fax: 359-2-980-4258
E-mail: sales@orbitel.bg
http://www.orbitel.bg/
Trade Associations
Bulgarian Association of Information Technology (BAIT)
Mr. Vassil Hristovich
Chairman
13, Shipka St., Entr. B, fl. 1
1504 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 946-1513
Fax: (359) (2) 438-694
E-mail: bait@nat.bg
http://www.bait.bg/about.htm
American Chamber of Commerce in Bulgaria
Information Technology Committee
Mr. Tom Higgins
Chairman
Bulgarian American Enterprise Fund
3, Shipka St.
1000 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 946-0119
Fax: (359) (2) 946-0118
E-mail: baef@aol.com
http://www.amcham.bg/
Internet Society
Mr. Veni Markovski
Chairman of the Board
31, Tsar Ivan Shishman St., 3rd Floor
1000 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-980-9666
Fax: 359-2-980-6431
E-mail: isoc@isoc.bg
http://www.isoc.bg/
Bulgarian Internet Association
Mr. Bojidar Sokolov
Chairman
4, Cherni Vrah Blvd.
Muzej i horata
1421 Sofia
E-mail: bia@web.bg
Trade Publications
Computerworld
IDG Bulgaria
Mr. Vladimir Vladkov
Chief Editor
1, Hristo Smirnenski Blvd., Block B
1421 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 963-0886, 963-0889
Fax: (359) (2) 963-2841
E-mail: idg@mbox.digsys.bg
http://www.idg.bg/public_html/bg/bulcw.htm
Computers (newspaper)
Ms. Natalia Veleva
Marketing
21, Shipchenski Prohod Blvd.
Entr. V, Floor 1, Apt. 31
Sofia 1113
Phone: (359) (2) 971-4791
Fax: (359) (2) 971-4794
E-mail: computer@sbline.net
Personal Computer World
PAM Publishing Company Ltd.
Ms. Natasha Marinova
Editor
19 Serdica Street
1202 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 835-877, 831-957
Fax: (359) (2) 835-152
E-mail: pcw@mbox.digsys.bg
http://www.pcw.bg/
PC WEEK Bulgaria
Saga Technology
Ms. Anna Bakalova
Executive Director
3, Vassil Levski Blvd.
1000 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 980-1446
Fax: (359) (2) 981-1924
E-mail: saga@sagabg.net
http://www.sagabg.net/
PC Magazine Bulgaria
Saga Technology
Ms. Anna Bakalova
Executive Director
3, Vassil Levski Blvd.
1000 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 980-1446
Fax: (359) (2) 981-1924
E-mail: saga@sagabg.net
http://www.sagabg.net/
ComputerNews, Internet
TopTeam Ltd.
Mr. Vasko Tomanov
Executive Director
4, Cherni Vrah Blvd.
Muzei Zemiata i horata
1421 Sofia
Phone: 359-2-656-764
Fax : 359-2-973-3848
E-mail: draga@web.bg
http://www.internet.web.bg/
Computer Magazine
New Technik Publishing Ltd.
Mr. George Balansky
Managing Director
11, Panayot Volov Street
Phone/Fax: (359) (2) 943-4128
E-mail: office@newtech.bg
http://www.newteck.bg/
7. Trade Promotion Opportunities
American Tech 2001
May 8-11, 2001
Kempinski Hotel Zografski
Organizer: Via Expo Ltd.
Ms. Maya Krasteva
Manager
Via Expo Ltd.
3, Chehov Square
4003 Plovdiv
Phone/Fax: (359) (32) 96-00-12
E-mail: via-expo@mbox.digsys.bg
http://www.viaexpo.com/
U.S. Sofia Catalog Promotion at American Tech 2001
May 8-11, 2001
Kempinski Hotel Zografski
Organizer: CS Sofia
E-Commerce Conference
October, 2001
Kempinski Hotel Zografski
Organizer: Via Expo Ltd.
Ms. Maya Krasteva
Manager
Via Expo Ltd.
3, Chehov Square
4003 Plovdiv
Phone/Fax: (359) (32) 96-00-12
E-mail: via-expo@mbox.digsys.bg
http://www.viaexpo.com/
BAIT EXPO 2000
November, 2001
Festivalna Hall, Sofia
Organizer: BAIT
Ms. Irina Radoeva
Executive Secretary
13, Shipka Street, Entr. B, floor 1
1000 Sofia
Phone: (359) (2) 946-1531, 946-1451
Fax: (359) (2) 43-86-94
E-mail: bait@spnet.net
http://www.bait.bg/about.htm
8. Regional Opportunities
CeBIT 2001
March 22-28, 2001
Hannover, Germany
Organizer: Deutsche Messe AG
http://www.cebit.de/
Demographics & Economic Situation
Source:
Factbook.net
More reports
from Factbook
Source:
US Dept. of Commerce Jan 2001
Factbook.net
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